Texas Hold Em Probability
Odds & Statistics of Poker
Players need to be mindful of the general odds and statistics to improve each of their poker games rules. The odds and statistics provided below are designed to briefly inform players the probabilities during game play. This is only to serve as a reminder and to put the actual game of poker in better perspective to allow players to make better decisions.
Texas Holdem Probability. In Texas Holdem poker, it’s essential to understand the probabilities of the most common situations. This knowledge can help you make positive decisions under some difficult circumstances. The probability of many events in Texas Holdem can be determined by direct calculation. How to use Texas Hold'em odds. The odds in this Texas Hold'em odds table are unlikely to directly help your overall strategy, but they are pretty interesting nonetheless. The Texas Hold'em odds for each of the different situations have been given in both percentage and ratio odds, so use whichever format you feel comfortable with.
Premium Starting Hands
Top starting hands such as AK suited, double aces or picture pairs can only occur with 2% probability. Thus, it may be quite difficult to get this.
Flush Draw
Flush draws will happen to a player about one-third of the time.
Don’t Hold On To Suited Cards
Suited cards are great, but they will only guarantee an improvement of barely 3% of a players hand.
Pairing On The Flop
Player’s hole cards have only about 33% chance of making a pair on the flop.
Hit The Board
Players can have the chance of making a pair rise to 50% by running their hand with the river.
Talk Straight
Players can obtain eight cards to complete their hand when they flop on a flexible straight draw. Players might have to hit their hand on the river with 32% probability. Ensure to keep track of the pot odds in the process.
Odds of Flopping A Set
The odds of flopping a set on a pair are around 8%. It is advisable to play only if the pot is desirable and attention should not be focused on small pairs.
Turnouts
It is possible for a player to hit four outs about 9% of the time with river and turn cards.
The Bigger Pair Wins
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Larger pairs on a head to the head drawing of two pairs have an 80% chance of winning over the smaller pair. For instance, it is better to fold if a player has a queen and they are supposed to bet, raise and re-raise when faced with a king or an ace.
Getting The Perfect Cards
Players have less than .5% probability of getting exactly two cards that they need on the river and if they succeed in getting one of the cards they have 5% likelihood of getting the other card.
Coin-flip Or Race
A coin-flip is a duo against two overcards; the card has approximately 50% chance of winning. Suited overcards have between 46% and 54% probability while non-suited overcards have between 47% and 58% likelihood of winning.
Issues With Kicker
Players have merely 25% probability of winning if their top card is the same with the opponent’s top card given that the player’s kicker is smaller.
Middle Suited Connectors
Middle suited connectors are liable to straight and flush, and that is why people believe that it is better than aces. However, ace over-pairs have 80% chance of winning over the suited connectors. Dealing a Pocket Pair A player has 6% chance of being dealt a pocket pair.
Flopping A Flush
Players have about 1% of flopping a flush even with suited cards.
Two Pair
There is about 2% chance that a player would flop two pairs. Making Full House by the River A player has about 17% probability of making up to a full house by the river with two pairs on the flop.
Making Full House
There is a 33% probability of making a full house if the player flops three of a kind.
Random Lower Cards
Random lower cards have 35% chance of winning overtime.
Big Danger Hand
In Texas Hold’em, pocket jacks are known as big danger hand. It provides a player below the chance they require to get a survival with the probability of a top card resulting to a flop about 53%.
The following Texas Holdem odds table highlights some common probabilities that you may encounter in Hold'em. It is not vital that you learn these probabilities, but it is useful to be aware of the chances of certain situations arising.
How To Calculate Probability Statistics
Texas Hold'em odds chart.
| Situation | Percentage Odds | Ratio Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Preflop Probabilities: | ||
| Dealt AA. | 0.45% | 220 to 1 |
| Dealt AK. | 1.2% | 82 to 1 |
| Dealt AKs. | 0.3% | 331 to 1 |
| Dealt 72o. | 0.9% | 109 to 1 |
| Being dealt AA vs. KK (heads up). | 0.004% | 22,559 to 1 |
| Dealt a pocket pair. | 6% | 16 to 1 |
| Dealt suited connectors. | 4% | 24 to 1 |
| Flop Probabilities: | ||
| Flopping a pair. | 32.4% | 2.2 to 1 |
| Flopping a set (with pockets). | 11.8% | 7.5 to 1 |
| Paired Board: | ||
| 2 players, probability of trips. | 17% | 4.8 to 1 |
| 3 players, probability of trips. | 26% | 3 to 1 |
| 4 players, probability of trips. | 34% | 2 to 1 |
| 5 players, probability of trips. | 43% | 1.4 to 1 |
How to use Texas Hold'em odds.
The odds in this Texas Hold'em odds table are unlikely to directly help your overall strategy, but they are pretty interesting nonetheless. The Texas Hold'em odds for each of the different situations have been given in both percentage and ratio odds, so use whichever format you feel comfortable with.
Texas Holdem Probability Chart
Other poker odds charts.
For more useful odds charts that you can use for when you are working out whether or not to call when on a drawing hand, use the following tables:
Texas Hold'em Probability Chart
Both of these tables give the odds for completing your draw depending on how many outs you have. You can find out more on how to work out odds and all that mathematical stuff in the article on pot odds.
Go back to the poker odds charts.
Texas Holdem House Rules
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